Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

Published on 03 Sep at 03:06 AM UTC

HEAD TO HEAD

N. Osaka vs K. Muchova

Naomi Osaka
Naomi Osaka

Flag JPN JPN

w
w
w
w
l
l
w
l
w
w
Karolina Muchova
Karolina Muchova

Flag CZE CZE

w
w
l
w
l
w
l
w
w
l

3

Win

5

Played

2

Win

28
Age
29
1.80m
Height
1.80m
16
C. Rank
19
1
Best Rank
8
7
Total Titles
1
0
YTD Titles
0
$24.1M
Career Money
$8.8M
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Plays
Right-Handed

Head-to-head: Osaka 3 - 2 Muchova

They have played 13 sets in total, with Naomi Osaka winning 7 and Karolina Muchova winning 6. The last match between Naomi Osaka and Karolina Muchova was at the U.S. Open - New York, 03-09-2025, Round: QF, Surface: Hard, with Naomi Osaka getting the victory 6-4 7-6(3).

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Osaka3
Muchova2
Last 6 H2H Matches:

(QFU.S. Open - New York(09-03-25)

Hard
JPN Flag
Naomi Osaka
6
7
CZE Flag
Karolina Muchova
4
6

(R2Australian Open - Melbourne(01-15-25)

Hard
JPN Flag
Naomi Osaka
1
6
6
CZE Flag
Karolina Muchova
6
1
3

(R2U.S. Open - New York(08-29-24)

Hard
CZE Flag
Karolina Muchova
6
7
JPN Flag
Naomi Osaka
3
6

N. Osaka vs K. Muchova H2H Profile

Stats
$24,149,734Career Prize Money$8,780,415
64.46% (341-188)Career Total W/L66.80% (326-162)
0Clay1
3Hard1
8Titles3
3Total H2H Matches2
66.67% (30-15)YTD Win/Loss60.47% (26-17)

N. Osaka vs K. Muchova Match Preview:

  • Muchova has shown a stronger second serve performance recently, winning 45.13% of points compared to Osaka's 42.7%. Could this give Muchova a slight edge? It may very well make a difference in tight situations.
  • When it comes to return games, Osaka has been more efficient against opponents' second serves, leading 51.25% versus Muchova's 48.88%. Could Osaka capitalize on this to gain an upper hand? This potentially offers her an advantage on crucial points.
  • First serve return statistics highlight Muchova's superior performance at 29.81%, outperforming Osaka's 25.78%. Does this suggest a possible leverage in return games for Muchova? It might be beneficial in breaking serves.
  • Muchova's ability to save breakpoints stands at 57.84%, significantly higher than Osaka's 43.01%. Does this indicate Muchova's composure under pressure? Likely, it enhances her resilience in tight situations.
  • Osaka holds a superior overall match win rate over the past year at 72.34%, compared to Muchova’s 66.67%. Is Osaka's consistent performance likely to sway the outcome in her favor?
  • Both players favor Hard courts, yet Muchova has a slightly better win percentage on this surface at 70% against Osaka’s 67%. Could this minor edge translate into a deciding factor on the day?
  • Historically, Muchova and Osaka are evenly matched head-to-head, with two wins each. However, Osaka triumphed in their last encounter. Will this influence her confidence going into the match?
  • If a deciding set occurs, Osaka has a slight advantage with 60% wins over Muchova's 59% in the past year. Could this prove decisive if the match goes the distance?
  • In high-pressure tiebreak situations, Muchova excels with two wins to Osaka's none. Could Muchova leverage this skill in clutch moments?
  • Muchova and Osaka have faced similarly ranked opponents over the last year, indicating equal competitive exposure. Does this level the playing field for both?

Editorial Prediction (September 3, 2025, UTC):

As Muchova and Osaka prepare to face off once again, each brings distinct strengths to the court. Muchova's superior second serve performance and solid breakpoint saving ability could be pivotal in maintaining composure under pressure. Her marginally stronger Hard court record may also provide a subtle advantage.

On the other hand, Osaka's superior return game, backed by consistent match wins over the past year, positions her as a formidable contender. Additionally, her ability to prevail in past decisive sets might come into play, especially if this match heads into a tiebreaker.

Given the tightly matched statistics and both players' proficiency on Hard court surfaces, the outcome is unpredictable, yet Osaka's recent performance trend and experience in crucial moments might slightly tilt the balance in her favor. Therefore, Osaka is more likely to emerge victorious in this upcoming encounter.

Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

N. Osaka vs K. Muchova H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
3H2H Matches Won2
7Sets Won6
64Games Won61
34Aces (Total)24
15Total Double Faults14
1:56:29Average Match Time1:56:29
58% (229/395)1st Serve %65% (248/384)
72% (166/229)1st Serve Win %69% (170/248)
50% (83/166)2nd Serve Win %53% (72/136)
39% (14/36)Break Pts Won %39% (12/31)
37% (142/384)Return Points Win %37% (146/395)
60% (3/5)Best‑of‑3 Win %40% (2/5)
67% (2/3)Deciding Set Win %33% (1/3)
100% (1/1)1st Set Won, Won Match50% (2/4)
0% (0/1)1st Set Won, Lost Match50% (2/4)
50% (2/4)1st Set Lost, Won Match0% (0/1)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Osaka 49%, Muchova 50%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Osaka 55%, Muchova 54%.
Break Points Saved %: Osaka 59%, Muchova 61%.

N. Osaka Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardJapan Open - Osaka - 13-10-2025

QF

ROUJ. Cristian
L
w/o

R2

NEDS. Lamens
W
7-6(6) 3-6 6-2

R1

JPNW. Sonobe
W
6-0 6-4
HardWuhan Open - Wuhan - 06-10-2025

R2

CZEL. Noskova
L
7-6(2) 6-3

R1

CANL. Annie
W
4-6 7-5 6-3

K. Muchova Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardToray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo - 20-10-2025

QF

SUIB. Bencic
L
3-6 7-5 7-5

R2

AUSM. Joint
W
6-3 7-5

R1

CZEM. Vondrousova
W
6-2 1-0 ret.
HardNingbo Open - Ningbo - 13-10-2025

R2

RUSD. Shnaider
L
2-6 6-1 6-2

R1

CZEM. Vondrousova
W
6-4 6-3
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N. Osaka vs K. Muchova Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
64.46% (341/188)YTD Win/Loss66.80% (326/162)
61.06% (740/472)Sets Win/Loss63.89% (722/408)
54.72% (6143/5084)Games Win/Loss55.29% (5763/4660)
66.95% (233/115)Hard Win/Loss69.23% (144/64)
60.00% (66/44)Clay Win/Loss65.90% (114/59)
66.67% (18/9)Indoor Hard W/L66.67% (48/24)
54.55% (24/20)Grass Win/Loss57.14% (20/15)
0.43Aces Per Game0.23
2348Aces Total1190
0.18Double Faults Per Game0.15
998Total Double Faults772
1:9:32Average Match Time1:20:6
379.4Average Opponent Rank391.08
56% (15317/27213)1st Serve %66% (17542/26640)
72% (10996/15317)1st Serve Win %65% (11392/17542)
48% (5753/11895)2nd Serve Win %50% (4522/9098)
46% (1395/3045)Break Points Won % (Total)47% (1531/3285)
43% (11585/27178)Return Points Win %45% (12194/27226)
72.28% (73/28)Slam W/L66.27% (55/28)
62.76% (91/54)Masters W/L69.62% (55/24)
75.00% (6/2)Cups W/L66.67% (2/1)
59.29% (83/57)Main Tour W/L64.04% (57/32)
65.79% (75/39)Challenger W/L65.96% (93/48)
61.90% (13/8)Futures W/L68.82% (64/29)
65% (338/517)Best of 3 Sets Win %67% (317/475)
0% (0/2)Best of 5 Sets Win %0% (0/3)
53% (65/122)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)60% (72/120)
64% (104/162)Deciding Set Win %53% (85/161)
90% (319/287)1st Set Won, Won Match88% (314/277)
10% (319/31)1st Set Won, Lost Match12% (314/37)
26% (210/55)1st Set Lost, Won Match28% (174/49)

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